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Posted on Sustainabilitank.info on August 31st, 2008
by Pincas Jawetz (PJ@SustainabiliTank.com)

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Posted on Sustainabilitank.info on August 31st, 2008
by Pincas Jawetz (PJ@SustainabiliTank.com)

The EU Must Reengage in the Moldova’s Transnistria (Trans-Dniester ) Problem To Avoid a Russian-Ossetian Type of Intrusion. What is at Stake here Is the Clear Return to a Reasserting Russia That Has Throws a Shadow Reading  Cold War II. Front-line Countries are the GUAM Countries: Georgia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan, and Moldova. The Latter Is The Only One That Does Not Border Russia - But Is In Danger of Becoming Another Belarus.

——–

[Comment] The EU should re-engage with Moldova’s ‘frozen conflict.’
Nicu Popescu, August 30, 2008, The EUoserver.

EUOBSERVER / COMMENT - Recently, the EU has learned that a war over an obscure place such as South Ossetia can shatter the arrangements of post-Cold War Europe. The armed conflict between Russia and Georgia has reverberated even more shockingly across the post-Soviet space. Without stronger engagement with its neighbours, the EU might end up with a bi-polar Europe, not a “ring of friends” in its neighbourhood.

In addition to Abkhazia and South Ossetia [in Georgia], Transnistria is a third “frozen conflict” zone supported politically, economically and militarily by the Russian Federation and used to exert influence on Moldova. The war in Georgia is beginning to have an impact in Moldova. The danger is not that of another war, but of unsustainable peace and the transformation of Moldova into a second Belarus.

***

At just 100 kilometers from the EU border, Transnistria is the closest unsolved secessionist conflict to the European Union. This conflict undermines Moldovan statehood, threatens Romania and Ukraine’s security and complicates EU-Russia relations. In the last years the EU has significantly stepped up its engagement in Moldova. The EU offered Moldova a visa-facilitation agreement and trade liberalization as well as making Moldova the second biggest recipient of EU assistance in the European neighbourhood (after Palestine). The EU also appointed an EU Special Representative, introduced a travel ban against Transnistrian leaders, and launched an 120 people-strong EU Border Assistance Mission to reduce the smuggling on which Transnistria thrived. The EU efforts are partly effective, but they need time, which might be in short supply.

***

On the wings of a military victory in Georgia, Russia’s president Dmitri Medvedev convoked his Moldovan counterpart, Vladimir Voronin, to a summit in Sochi. Russia offered Moldova a settlement in Transnistria on Russian terms, or to face gradual recognition of Transnistrian independence. Russia wants a return to the “Kozak Memorandum” - a 2003 deal on Transnistria that the EU and Moldova refused for fear of entrenching Russian military presence in Moldova. Russia also wants Moldova to interrupt virtually all its cooperation with NATO, condemn Georgia, possibly end the presence of the EU Border Assistance Mission in the region and accept a dysfunctional federalisation agreement.

The Moldovan government has been ready to accept some Russian conditions, but not a Russian military presence in the reunified Moldova. It also wants Russian peacekeepers to be replaced with international civilian monitors, but has little EU support on that. On this really tough issue Moldova is left pretty much on its own with Russia.

***

The EU has an enormous, but untapped potential in Moldova. This country is on the EU’s fringe, but 1,000 km away from Russia. Moldova wants to join the EU. The EU accounts for over half of Moldovan external trade, while Russia has roughly 15 percent. Still, many EU member states have been too hesitant to support stronger EU involvement in Moldova.

The EU’s biggest failure is to push for the transformation of the Russia-dominated and biased peacekeeping operation in Moldova. The EU discussed this twice. In 2003, the idea was refused by Russia. But in 2006 a few EU member states killed the scheme for fear of irritating Russia. This approach now has to be revisited in the light of the Georgian crisis.

***

There are four things the EU should do to send a symbolically powerful signal of engagement. The first, is for EU High Representative Javier Solana to visit Moldova, a country he has not been to since 2001. In the aftermath of the war in Georgia, European heads of state and foreign ministers have visited Georgia, Ukraine and Azerbaijan to show solidarity, but not Moldova (except for the Romanian president).

The second, is for EU member states to urgently agree on a mandate to launch negotiations on a new enhanced EU-Moldova agreement, a process that is already underway with Ukraine and even Russia. The negotiations themselves on this agreement could start after the Moldovan elections in March 2009. Despite some problems with democracy, Moldova along with Ukraine still remains one of the most pluralistic post-Soviet states.

Thirdly, the EU should agree internally that the current peacekeeping format in Transnistria is biased and should launch an initiative to internationalize the force, while offering a comprehensive EU civilian presence upon Moldovan invitation.

Fourth, the EU should offer to discuss a road-map for a visa-free regime between the EU and Moldova. This would be the strongest signal for both Moldova and Transnistria that they have a future in a Europeanised and reunified country. And it would also be a good demonstration of the EU’s ability to prevent future instability and conflict in its neighbourhood through soft, not hard, power.

Nicu Popescu is research fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations, London office

###

Posted on Sustainabilitank.info on August 30th, 2008
by Pincas Jawetz (PJ@SustainabiliTank.com)

In Tokyo’s Asakusa district, Saturday August 30, 2008, 4,700 people, organized in 20 Samba schools, turned their district into Little Brazil. They were dressed accordingly, danced the samba, and used decorated cars. This is a tradition started in 1981 - The Asakusa Samba Carnival - when Taito Ward invited over the winning group of that year’s Rio Carnival in Brazil.

Akira Iizuka, a member of samba organization G.R.E.S. Saude in Yokohama, said his group participates in other events, but this is the biggest.

“The Asakusa Samba Carnival is where people can perform a real Brazilian-style carnival,” said Iizuka, who was taking part in his eighth Asakusa festival.

The carnival featured contests for two leagues with a total of 20 teams.

The teams paraded from Umamichi Dori to the end of Kaminarimon Dori in front of thousands of people.

The dancers prepared their own costumes and themes.

While many women wore showy colorful bikinis with big feathers on their head and back, costumes varied widely between the different teams. Members of one team dressed as chefs.

###

Posted on Sustainabilitank.info on August 30th, 2008
by Pincas Jawetz (PJ@SustainabiliTank.com)

John McCain is Older Than Alaska:
The Senator from Arizona is 23 years older than America’s 49th state.

Posted by Isaac Fitzgerald, AlterNet, August 29, 2008.

The Wall Street Journal Says Senator McCain is a former fighter pilot - so he loves to take risks.

*****

Amazing Today’s Financial Times Print Edition (Saturday, August 30, 2008) - A clear Sign Of Having Been Caught in Complete Surprise.

The inside of the paper deals with the change from the Clinton party leadership to the Obamas. “Bedecked in Denver” and the Ingram Pinn cartoon showing “Turning The Page.”

Then The Editorial already scrambles to - “Battle of the Conventions: The Democrats did well, Next up, the Republicans.” … “Most appealingly, Obama wants to unite not just his party but his country.”… “No sooner had the Democrats wrapped up their convention - Mr. McCain congratulated Mr. Obama on a job well done - than Mr. McCain recaptured the headlines and stunned many in the party and the country at large with his choice of running mate…. Above all, young and inexperienced, is she a plausible president?”

A heroic effort was seemingly needed to put on the front page: “PALIN TO SHAKE UP ELECTION FIGHT IN US” and back this up on page 2 with “McCain Takes Big Gamble on Palin: Suburban Mom Who Took On Her Own Party.”

The obvious - Barack Obama’s acceptance speech at the Democratic convention in Denver the night before was relegated to a secondary story. The media chatter was about the 44-year-old governor of Alaska. Mr. McCain has managed to grab the media’s attention in his unexpected move.

“Political insiders were divided between those that saw a masterstroke that could transform the race in Mr. McCain’s favor, and others who thought it disatrous.”

David Gergen, who advised Republican and Democrat White house, said on CNN “you could have knocked me over with a feather.” “John McCain likes to take risks and this is one of the biggest gambles I’ve seen in a long, long time.”

{OK John, you can take gambles with your campaign - but do you think the voters will take gambles with their future? Will they agree to have as alternate commander in chief to a 72 year old gentleman a kid conservative social-warrior when the country may indeed face not the issue of birth but the issues of death? Climate change, poverty and diseases in developing countries, the competition with the new powers of China, India and Russia? Reorganizing Alaska’s oil money is no credible experience when it comes to this sort of issues.

What about the following news:

“In the wake of the apparent retreat of ice in the Arctic Circle, the U.S. Coast Guard called for the need for vessels capable of breaking through the arctic ice. The U.S. fleet currently has three ships capable of performing such duties; one is currently under repair. Meanwhile, in search of new resources in the frozen north, Russia is expanding the size of its icebreaking fleet to 14.” Does the young lady have any idea how to respond to this problem brewing in her backyard?

or - “A defense deal was signed by Russia and Syria, which may lead to Russian defense missiles on Syrian soil. Some observers fear this may lead to a Middle East “Cold War,” with the West supporting Israel and Russia, Syria. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad said, “We are ready to co-operate with Russia in any project that can strengthen its security,”

or - “The US turned down a request by Defense Minister Ehud Barak to purchase the Boeing 767 aircraft, which can be used for mid-air refueling, amid fears that the sale would appear to support an Israeli strike on Iran” }

—-

The Japan Times online has no word yet on Palin, their US article is still “Obama Takes The Party.”

***

After above introduction, let us see what US reporters, with more access to sources, and with the benefit of another 6 hours of time, could come up regarding the big McCain (McPathetic) willing gamble. If he is successful, and god forbids something happens to him, heshowed he is willing to gamble with the future of all of us. This might indeed be a sign he himself is already beyond the age of becoming a solid leader of his country.

One Last Word To The Conservative Social Bunch that Is Trying To Run Away With America;

GOD IS SPELLED WITH A “D” - CLEARLY NOT WITH A “P”

==============

ANALYSIS: With His VP Pick, McCain Reclaims His Maverick Image.

Advisers say John McCain had hoped to shake up the race. In choosing as his running mate Sarah Palin — a virtually unknown Washington outsider — he succeeded.

By Dan Balz
Washington Post Staff Writer
Saturday, August 30, 2008

MINNEAPOLIS, Aug. 29 — John McCain’s advisers predicted weeks ago that the presumptive Republican nominee would use his national convention week to try to recapture his image as a maverick reformer and shake up the presidential race. He did just that Friday with his surprise choice of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his vice presidential running mate.

McCain’s selection of the nationally untested Palin is the most unlikely choice of a running mate since George H.W. Bush tapped then-Sen. Dan Quayle in 1988, a move as risky as it was bold. The decision brings the senator from Arizona immediate dividends with his base and eventually, perhaps, with swing voters. But it comes at potentially significant cost to his effort to discredit Democratic nominee Barack Obama as unprepared for the presidency.

The choice of Palin, the first woman named to a Republican presidential ticket, adds another chapter to a campaign that, mostly on the Democratic side, has been about breaking down racial and gender barriers in America. McCain’s hope is that, with Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) now on the sidelines, Palin can help close a sizable gap with Obama among female voters that threatens to block his path to the White House.

***



Picking Palin also helps McCain consolidate his party’s conservative base, which has been at best lukewarm toward his candidacy. The governor’s conservative credentials are not in doubt, whether on {opposing even in cases of rape or incest} abortion or {promoting} gun rights or {standing up against} gay rights. The announcement of her elevation to the Republican ticket brought an outpouring of enthusiasm from the right flank of the GOP and will assure a more energized convention next week in St. Paul, Minn.


But what tipped the balance toward Palin was that she gives McCain a partner with a record of challenging the establishment in her own party and in Anchorage, reinforcing the case that he would be more fearless and effective than Obama in taking on special interests in Washington.

“I have found the right partner to help me stand up to those who value their privileges over their responsibilities, who put power over principle, and put their interests before your needs,” McCain said in introducing Palin on Friday. “I found someone with an outstanding reputation for standing up to special interests and entrenched bureaucracies; someone who has fought against corruption and the failed policies of the past.”

***

But in turning to Palin, who is halfway through her first term as governor and who previously served as mayor of the small town of Wasilla, outside Anchorage, McCain risks ceding the most effective argument he and fellow Republicans have made against Obama. For months, Republicans have attacked the senator from Illinois as not ready to be president. Now McCain has put someone who Democrats argue has even less experience one election and a heartbeat away from the presidency.

He also has gambled that the governor of a geographically large but sparsely populated state can make the transition to the national stage, with no opportunity for an off-Broadway tryout. Unlike some of the established politicians who were believed to be under consideration, Palin is a total newcomer to the national spotlight and thus vulnerable to making the kind of mistakes that would raise questions about McCain’s judgment.

But Mark Salter, one of McCain’s closest confidants, said Friday that the campaign will argue that Palin’s experience actually exceeds Obama’s, both as an executive and as a hard-charging reformer willing to take on not just special interests but her own party as well. “Obama has no such record,” Salter said.

McCain’s campaign has exuded confidence of late after a month in which it pounded Obama as an elitist and a lightweight celebrity. But the choice of Palin hints at the underlying anxiety within its inner circle that the fundamentals of this election year still favor Obama and the Democrats. McCain was looking for ways to counter the Democrats’ argument that he is merely an extension of President Bush and concluded that he needed a game-changing decision, with all the risks that entailed.

He had safer and more conventional options, although those perhaps became less attractive as he watched the Democrats celebrate Obama’s historic nomination in Denver.

Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney was one of those alternatives, although the uproar over the many homes McCain owns perhaps made the wealthy businessman a problematic choice. Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty was another, a conservative with blue-collar roots. But the more Minnesota looks like an uphill climb for McCain, the less Pawlenty might have been able to do for the GOP ticket.

cCain’s heart may have been with two supporters of abortion rights: former Pennsylvania governor Tom Ridge, a fellow Vietnam War veteran and an old McCain pal from their days in the House, and Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman, the independent Democrat from Connecticut who has been a regular traveling companion of McCain’s on the campaign trail.

The choice of either, however, could have blown apart the Republican convention over the abortion issue. Lieberman, in particular, would have been a problematic pick. He and McCain agree on little beyond the Iraq war and foreign policy, but his selection would have reinforced the closeness between McCain and Bush.

For all the enthusiasm Palin’s selection generated among conservative constituencies, many GOP strategists were privately bewildered by McCain’s decision.

***

One Republican strategist, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to offer a candid view, said in an e-mail, “I would rather be arguing with conservatives about abortion than with the Democrats about a lack of experience on our own ticket.”

“She really destroys the ‘not ready’ mantra,” another strategist noted.

But other Republicans believe Palin could help the ticket in the industrial states of the Midwest if she is seen as they believe she will be: a working mother of strong character and convictions, and a fresh voice from outside Washington calling for an end to business as usual.

Her Western conservatism, they said, could also provide the ticket an added boost in the Rocky Mountain states, which Democrats have targeted this year. Obama is competing hard in Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada and Montana. The presence of an Alaskan and an Arizonan on the Republican ticket may be reassuring to undecided Western voters.

The harsh Democratic reaction to her underscored the stakes for Palin. For all her attractive attributes, she is so little known that the first side that succeeds in defining her nationally may win the battle. Democratic leaders and Obama spokesman Bill Burton attacked her as an inexperienced right-winger who should not be trusted with the second-highest office in the land.

Republicans believe the fierceness of the Democratic attacks could backfire.

Obama, however, declined to join such attacks and even distanced himself from his campaign’s rhetoric. Clinton offered congratulations to Palin and only mild criticism.

David Plouffe, Obama’s campaign manager, described Palin as a politician “with a compelling story” who is likely to be an effective campaigner. But, he said, she will be campaigning on McCain’s agenda, which he argued is a continuation of Bush’s. “Our view is that Obama’s and McCain’s agendas are on the ballot,” he said.

That is always the case in presidential campaigns. In the end, vice presidential candidates generally make little difference. But Friday’s uproar over Palin — positive and negative — says this is one pick that, at least in the short term, might make a difference.

The Washington Post online has much information on Sarah Palin, the Wasilla Warriors basketball star nicknamed “Sarah Barracuda” - a fme that stuck with her in her political life that spanned from the mayoralty of this small town of 7,000 to the Governorship of the 600,000 people, oil rich, State of Alaska. Please see:

 http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/con…

The moniker - “Sarah Barracuda” - was revived once again in 2003, when Alaska’s governor, whom she would later unseat, appointed her to a state oil-and-gas commission. As a brand-new member, she challenged the ethics of the panel’s leader, the chairman of state’s Republican Party, forcing him ultimately to resign. {In effect the whole political class of this oil greased State is under suspicion of misconduct. Its Senior US Senator and its only Representative to the House in the US Congress are now under indictment that relates to money and oil favors. So, coming in as a novice and speaking up against some individual superiors, while continuing to safeguard the interests of big oil is rather a sign of rear guard work to save the oil interests when such exagerated misdeeds - like the famous bridge to nowhere - got disclosed to the US population at large - by others.}

Since long before she became Alaska’s youngest — and first female — governor 20 months ago, Sarah Louise Heath Palin has been making her mark as an unlikely upstart. Yesterday, she did it again, accepting Sen. John McCain’s surprise offer to be his running mate.

McCain, who regards himself as an independent-minded Republican, liked what he heard about her. Her evangelical Christian faith — she believes in creationism and is adamantly opposed to abortion — may help him court skeptical social conservatives. And the fact that her eldest son joined the Army and is leaving soon for Iraq reinforces McCain’s own military heroism. He met her previously only once, and yesterday summoned her to Dayton Ohio to make her his political bride.

***

Born in Idaho, Palin became an Alaskan as an infant when her parents, Chuck and Sally Heath, hauled their young family and their belongings up the Alaskan Highway in search of adventure. They settled eventually in Wasilla, about 45 miles north of Anchorage. Palin’s official biography describes it as a place with a “reputation for junky yards and cranky land-owners who didn’t mind using the serious end of a shotgun to run off trespassers.” Ivan Moore, a veteran political pollster in Anchorage, described Wasilla as “the most fearsomely conservative region of the state.”

The family would go on camping trips to hunt moose, bear and sometimes wild sheep, according to Adele Morgan, a friend since childhood. Palin is a lifetime member of the National Rifle Association, and even today, as governor, she fishes for salmon .

Kaylene Johnson, a journalist whose biography of the governor was published this year. Palin’s father was her track coach, and she played on the softball team, but her real passion was basketball.

“She doesn’t like sitting on the sidelines,” said Kathlene Johnson, a journalist whose biography of the governor was published this year, that is why she joined active sports.

Her mother, meanwhile, made sure that Sundays were for church.

Palin entered the Miss Wasilla beauty pageant and won, playing the flute for her talent. She went on to compete for Miss Alaska and was a runner up.

She began to date Todd Palin, a part Yup’ik Eskimo who grew up in the bush of a native Alaskan village, when he transferred to Wasilla’s high school to play basketball. She went off to college, studying first in Hawaii before transferring to the University of Idaho, where she majored in journalism with a minor in political science.

Not long after she returned to Wasilla, she and Todd Palin eloped at the local courthouse — 20 years ago yesterday — recruiting two strangers from across the street to serve as witnesses.

A commercial fisherman and “World” champion snowmobile racer, Todd Palin has worked as an oilfield worker for BP on Alaska’s North Slope. He now works for a union.

Their first child, Track, was born in 1989. Their youngest, Trig, was born just four months ago; consistent with her opposition to abortion, she continued the pregnancy after learning early on that her baby had Down syndrome.

She was 28 when she set her sights on the Wasilla City Council. A social conservative in tune with the town, Palin easily won a seat, and the issues tended to revolve around garbage collection and the local police force. Along the way, she made an enemy of her political patron. She then ousted the three-term incumbent Republican mayor, winning by 211 votes, according to her biography.

In 2002, Palin narrowly lost a bid for lieutenant governor, running as a supporter of then-Gov. Frank Murkowski. Her reward was an appointment to the powerful Oil and Gas Conservation Commission, which regulates the state’s energy industries. Within months of assuming the $115,000-a-year job, Palin castigated her fellow commissioner, Randy Ruedrich, then the chairman of the state Republican Party, saying he was conducting political business on state time. She sparked an investigation that led to his resignation and a $12,000 fine.

“Randy Reudrich served as the very powerful, king-making, top-dog chairman of the Republican Party of Alaska,” Moore said. “This was what forged her reputation.”

In 2006, Palin went after Murkowski, defeating the governor in a GOP primary before winning in November. The election put into the governor’s mansion a pro-life executive who is opposed to stem cell research, favors the teaching of creationism in public schools and is a longtime advocate of hunters’ rights.

As governor, Palin has played down her social views. Instead, she has focused on the powerful oil industry, helping to impose higher taxes on its soaring profits and pushing to construct a massive new natural gas pipeline.

“She’s conservative in ideology, but she’s very practical,” said lobbyist Paul Fuhs, who battled Palin over the gas line and eventually reached a compromise. “What you see is what you get. She’s very upfront.”

One of Palin’s first official acts as governor was to sell on eBay a gubernatorial jet that Murkowski had bought.

But she has angered two of Alaska’s leading Republicans — Sen. Ted Stevens and Rep. Don Young — by refusing to support their decades-long practice of securing federal money for the state, including Young’s effort to obtain $233 million for a structure dubbed the “Bridge to Nowhere” by critics because it would have connected a small town with an island populated with 50 people. In her short time in state office, she has repeatedly thwarted Stevens’s and Young’s interests and, at times, challenged their candidates — including their children. {These are the two Alaskans who were Washington powerhouses and who face now the courts - they were on many people’s eye-bull targets.}

So far, her popularity among her constituents is untarnished. In the most recent state survey, four out of five Alaskans said they support her, according to Moore. How that will translate nationally is not yet clear.

***

In 1984, Walter Mondale’s choice of Geraldine Ferraro as his running mate shattered a glass ceiling as old as the republic, thrilled feminists and helped create a gender gap among voters that has aided Democrats ever since. Now comes John McCain, 24 years later, and picks Sarah Palin for his national ticket, and this time, it is the conservatives who think they have seized the political advantage.

“It’s basically the equivalent of a midnight raid behind enemy lines,” said Juleanna R. Glover, a GOP strategist with ties to the McCain campaign. “Hillary said she made 18 million cracks in the glass ceiling. Well, McCain just shattered it.”

Serrin M. Foster, president of Feminists for Life, a nonpartisan group to which Palin has belonged since 2006, said the governor’s sudden political ascent demonstrates how women are making gains, regardless of their ideology. “The early feminists worked for the rights of women to vote and our right to life,” Foster said yesterday. “This is one more step in a long march for women’s history.”

Debbie Dingell, a loyal Clinton backer and the wife of Rep. John D. Dingell (D-Mich.), said she had been talking to women all day yesterday who felt “insulted” by the move. “This is just sheer political pandering,” she said. “I don’t think women are going to buy it.”

Polling data suggest that Obama has the Democrats’ traditional advantage among women at the moment. Washington Post-ABC News polling this year indicates that nearly six in 10 women call themselves either Democrats or Democrat-leaning independents, and in the latest Post-ABC poll, 55 percent of female voters supported Sen. Barack Obama, and 37 percent supported McCain.

In 2004, women went for John F. Kerry by a slim 51 percent to 48 percent but were more solidly Democratic in the three previous elections.

The extent of Palin’s appeal will probably be determined by which side — McCain’s or Democratic nominee Barack Obama’s — defines the relatively unknown politician in the weeks to come. Republicans hope to portray her as a down-to-earth reformer and mother of five, who chose to sell off the Alaska governor’s jet and instead drive her family around the state.

————

On TV I saw a woman comentator saying that the Alaska Governor has the “parts” but she has no record of standing for women issues. I also saw other women that were brought in to speak for the Republican side on programs like Wolf Blitzer on CNN, and literally could not be shut up. He was asking a question and they were simply ratling their very conservative views. On the other hand, the Democrats were shy of being agressive. They had to listen to tirades of what great experience this young politician has managed to accumulate under her belt.

We heard a lot about about guts. I was wondering if anyone was going to ask anything about her position on the Russia-Georgian divide, after all Alaska is a fault-line between the US and Russia and Wassila is a name harking back to the days that Russians were in abundance in Alaska. Clearly something to think about these days of Russian efforts to regain terrain in countries where Russians were planted in the past.

========================

McCain’s Choice of Palin Is a Risk.

by: Peter Wallsten, The Los Angeles Times, Saturday 30 August 2008.

She could attract conservative Christians but not necessarily the women who backed Hillary Clinton. And some voters may question McCain’s decision-making style.

Denver - American voters on Friday began learning about Sarah Palin. But the selection of an obscure Alaska governor as the Republican vice presidential nominee also offers clues about the leadership style of the man who placed her on the ticket.

Though John McCain clearly concluded that Palin could attract female voters and grab his campaign some Barack Obama-style media buzz, he also is taking a risk that in elevating a largely unknown figure, he undermines the central theme of his candidacy that he puts “country first,” above political calculations.

For a candidate known to possess a quick temper and an unpredictable political streak, the decision raises questions about how McCain would lead — whether his decisions would flow from careful deliberations or gut checks in which short-term considerations or feelings outweigh the long view.

“Americans like risk-takers, but they also want to know that in times of crisis, you’re going to be calm,” said Matthew Dowd, who was a senior campaign strategist for President Bush but is neutral in the McCain-Obama race.

“Americans don’t necessarily want somebody in a time of crisis to be overly emotional,” Dowd said. “That’s the balance that John McCain’s going to have to show the public.”

The Palin risk also has the potential to reap big rewards.

Her presence on the ticket as a strongly antiabortion mother of five — her infant son has Down syndrome — promises to energize evangelical voters who have been skeptical of McCain.

Already, some top conservative Christian leaders who criticized McCain in the past have proclaimed enthusiasm for the pick.

Moreover, as a hunter, a member of the National Rifle Assn. and an avid snowmobiler, Palin appeals to many facets of the GOP base.

McCain’s choice of Palin strikes a contrast with Obama’s running-mate selection of Joe Biden, a longtime U.S. senator whose foreign policy credentials and working-class roots seemed to fill important gaps in Obama’s resume and political style.

***



That is not to say that voters always want the deliberative approach. McCain’s popularity stems partly from his independent style, whereas Obama has been accused of being too professorial and failing to connect with middle-class voters on a personal level.

Still, for McCain, who turned 72 on Friday and has had bouts with the most serious form of skin cancer, the priority in his running-mate selection was picking someone voters could envision becoming commander in chief should something befall him as president.

Or so it had seemed.

As of midweek, according to GOP sources, Republicans believed that the Arizona senator had narrowed his choices to more-seasoned contenders: Sen. Joe Lieberman, an independent from Connecticut, and Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty.

Pawlenty, popular with conservatives, was viewed as the safe bet; Lieberman, the 2000 Democratic vice presidential nominee, would have angered the party base but was generally considered qualified.

How McCain settled on Palin, whom he first met six months ago, remains a mystery outside his small inner circle of advisors.

She doesn’t seem an ideal fit for a campaign that has focused intensely on foreign policy expertise and has attacked Obama for his relative lack of experience in that area.

At 44, she is three years younger than Obama and 21 years younger than Biden. She was elected governor in 2006 and formerly was mayor of Wasilla, Alaska, population 7,000 or so.

McCain apparently made his decision after a telephone conversation with Palin last weekend and a face-to-face meeting Thursday at his home in Sedona, Ariz.

“On its face, it looks like a gut decision,” said a Republican strategist who requested anonymity when discussing McCain’s judgment. “But it also speaks to a very hyper-political decision. Obviously, he doesn’t have any history with Sarah Palin. He doesn’t know her. It seems to be a calculated push toward gaining women voters.”

Another Republican with close ties to the McCain campaign said Friday that the pick reflected McCain’s penchant for going with his gut — even if such gambles can lead him to the wrong choice. The Republican felt uncomfortable repeating talking points distributed by the McCain campaign, which argued that Palin’s role as commander of the Alaska National Guard and her Army son’s imminent deployment to Iraq makes her “ready to be president” and helps her “understand what it takes to lead our nation.”

“This is a guy who takes big gambles,” said the Republican, who requested anonymity when talking about McCain. “But we’re talking about somebody who is 72 running for president, and I don’t know if you gamble with those decisions, do you? It’s not like he was 20 points behind.”

The surprise pick underscored a go-it-alone style that often has alienated McCain’s Senate colleagues — and left them scratching their heads.

Many Republicans struggled Friday to praise McCain’s choice, simply because they knew little about Palin. In one awkward exchange on CNN, Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas, who had been mentioned as a dark-horse candidate, said she didn’t know the Alaska governor.

Hutchison was one of several Republican women who had been mentioned as possible running mates for McCain, including former business executives Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina.

Democrats on Friday said McCain had passed over more qualified contenders, such as Sen. Olympia J. Snowe of Maine.

Polls show that McCain could improve his standing among women.

Though he is winning 47% of the white female vote, there is room for him to exploit the disaffection of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton backers who have not warmed to Obama. And Palin could win McCain more support from working-class women.

But it is not clear that Palin would pull in voters who had been drawn to Clinton’s advocacy for women’s rights — including abortion rights — and her decades of experience.

Palin began her courtship of that constituency Friday, invoking the legacy of Geraldine Ferraro, who, as the Democratic vice presidential nominee in 1984, became the first woman to run on a national major-party ticket. Palin also pledged to finish Clinton’s work and “shatter that glass ceiling once and for all.”

If she succeeds in drawing more female voters and gains acceptance as a potential commander in chief, Palin’s selection will have paid off. But if her image wilts under the most intense scrutiny of her life, McCain’s gut could prove to be his downfall.

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Other Points of view:

An Ex-Beauty Queen for VP: Political Risk or Political Genius?
By Heather Gehlert, AlterNet. Posted August 30, 2008.

 http://www.alternet.org/election08/96989…

Sarah Palin and Feminists for Life
By Ruth Rosen, AlterNet. Posted August 30, 2008.

 http://www.alternet.org/election08/96991…

How the Republicans Win
by: Robert Parry, Consortium News . Posted August 29, 2008.http://www.truthout.org/article/how-republicans-win

The Wall Stret Journal writes: “Palin Has Long Experience Dealing With Big Oil in Home State.” She gave $500 million to the industry to provide incentives to induce work on a pipeline that the industry was slow to pick up. She also approached ExxonMobil about the Point Thompson oil-and-gas field, one of the largest undeveloped fields in the US, for failing to develop quickly enough. - if you wonder - the company has not drilled a well there - a new well - since 1982. She wants to drill in ANWAR so she had to do this “shake up” of ExxonMobil.” No result yet obviously (for different reasons) in any of this. But WSJ is happy about the attention.

If this is energy policy - I guess Al Gore is wrong, and he said in Denver: “the carbon fuels industry - big oil and coal - have a 60-year lease on the Republican Party.”

OK - there is a lot here that the upcoming two months of campaigning will have to dig into - bui hopefully the voters will not white-wash the findings because they fall in love with an atractive young woman. Yes, elections are about emotions and this has in it the kernel of the undoing of the future of the world - not just the USA.

and from Senator McCain:

My Friends,
I am honored to announce that I have chosen Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska as my choice for the Republican nominee for Vice President. As a father with three daughters, I can’t express how proud I am to choose the first female Republican Vice-Presidential nominee.

Sarah Palin is a trailblazer and a reformer. As the first female governor of Alaska, she challenged a corrupt system {of old style Republicans we assume} and has been a tireless advocate for reform - passing a landmark bill on ethics reform {we assume in her dealings with the Oil and Gas Conservation Agency of Alaska that she headed thanks to a plum from Governor Murkowsky whom she unseated later on}. She has taken on the old politics in Alaska and reformed the state’s energy industry {we assume the facts will be provided later on}. She rejects wasteful pork barrel spending. She’s fearless - exactly the type of leader I want at my side and the type of leadership we will bring to Washington.

My friends, together Sarah Palin and I make the strongest presidential ticket. We’re shaking things up in this campaign - and Governor Palin and I are ready to bring real reform to Washington.

The polls indicate this will be a tight race as we head into the fall campaign against Senators Obama and Biden.

———–
and from Governor Sarah Palin:

Dear Friend,

I’m honored and humbled to join this historic campaign as John McCain’s running mate. I feel privileged to join a man I admire and the man I know is ready to lead our country as the next president.

Some of life’s greatest opportunities come unexpectedly, and this is certainly the case for me. I never set out to run for office. But life has taken me on a course that first led to the Alaska Governor’s office and now the country’s first female Republican vice presidential candidate.

I want you to know that John McCain and I will challenge the status quo in Washington. We’re ready to address our nation’s great challenges - from reducing our dependence on foreign oil to cutting wasteful spending and creating good jobs for Americans. I look forward to working with him to achieve every goal he has set out during this campaign to improve the lives of all Americans.

As the mother of a son serving in the U.S. Army and the commander of Alaska’s National Guard, there is no doubt in my mind that John McCain is prepared to serve as our next Commander in Chief.

What I admire most about John McCain is his unwavering ability to put our country first and to ask for nothing in return for his decades of service. He’s shown his resolve, toughness and strength of heart in the darkest of places; all in service to his country. This speaks volumes about the type of selfless leadership John McCain will bring to the White House.

Our team is ready to lead the country as the next President and Vice President of the United States. We’re ready to win in November and we won’t be able to do it without your support. If you want change in Washington, then John McCain and I are asking for your support.
========

The Wall Street Journal was totally unaware of what is coming and please see what their editorial of August 28, 2008 said about Alaska; then compare with what Fred Barnes wrote just two days later, August 30, 2008:

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And Gail Collins in The New York Times looks how McCain Baked his Alaska.

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Posted on Sustainabilitank.info on August 30th, 2008
by Pincas Jawetz (PJ@SustainabiliTank.com)

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In Israel, A Clash Over Who Is a Jew.
Ultra-Orthodox Contest Conversions

 Griff Witte
Washington Post Foreign Service
Saturday, August 30, 2008; Front Page.

ASHDOD, Israel — Yael converted to Judaism in 1992, and for the next 15 years she lived in Israel, celebrating the major holidays and teaching her children about the Jewish faith.

But when she and her husband sought a divorce last year, she said, the ultra-Orthodox rabbis in charge of the process had some questions. Among them: Did Yael observe the Sabbath? Did she obey the prohibition on sex during and after menstruation?

Dissatisfied with the answers, the rabbis nullified her conversion. Yael did not need a divorce, they ruled, because she had never been married. She had never been married because she had never been Jewish. And because she had never been Jewish, her children were not, either.

“I was in shock. I couldn’t believe it,” said Yael, 43, who would allow only her Hebrew name to be published out of privacy concerns. Blond, blue-eyed and athletic-looking, Yael is baffled by the ordeal. “My kids grew up Jewish,” she said. “They don’t know anything else.”

Yael’s personal trauma has become a cause for Israeli soul-searching over what it means to be Jewish, a term that carries both religious and ethnic dimensions. The case has set off a roiling debate between those who see themselves as saving Judaism and those whose first priority is to safeguard the Jewish state.

On one side are ultra-Orthodox leaders who are using their long-standing dominance of Israel’s rabbinical court system — which has authority over marriages, divorces and conversions — to tighten restrictions governing who can become Jewish. They see themselves as defending the religious purity of a people who, according to their interpretation of Jewish law, need to live apart from other groups.

Those on the other side are much more concerned with demographics: They believe that at a time when the number of Arabs living between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea is poised to surpass the number of Jews, Israel needs all the converts it can get. This group includes secular Jews, but it is led by the religious Zionists, who form the core of the settlement movement in the occupied territories and who feel it is their duty to populate the biblical land of Israel.

The stakes have escalated since Yael’s conversion was tossed out: When she appealed to the High Rabbinical Court of Israel, it not only upheld the original decision but also threw into doubt the legality of thousands of other conversions.

“There is a cultural war going on between various segments of Jewish society,” said Benjamin Ish-Shalom, chairman of the Joint Institute for Jewish Studies. A trim man with a philosophical bearing who relishes any discussion of Judaism, he helps administer a government-funded education program for Israelis who need help getting through the rigorous process of conversion.

Over the past two decades, Israel has admitted hundreds of thousands of immigrants from the former Soviet Union, over the objections of ultra-Orthodox leaders who spoke out against allowing non-Jews to enter the country. Many of the immigrants lacked the paperwork to prove their Jewish ancestry. Others had fathers or grandparents who were Jewish, but did not qualify as Jewish themselves because Judaism is passed down through mothers. Until now, ultra-Orthodox leaders have not acted as forcefully to invalidate immigrant conversions.

To Ish-Shalom, facilitating conversion has been good for the converts, good for Judaism and good for the state. “Israel needs people. It needs loyal people,” he said.

At the moment, there is rough parity between the Palestinian and Jewish populations in Israel, the West Bank and Gaza, according to Eliyahu Ben-Moshe, a demographer and former deputy director of Israel’s Central Bureau of Statistics. Because of a high Arab birth rate, Ben-Moshe said, they are expected to establish a clear majority in the coming decades — a terrifying prospect for Israeli policymakers as the well of diaspora Jews who are willing to immigrate to Israel dries up.

The ultra-Orthodox, Ish-Shalom argues, are damaging that effort by requiring converts to heed strict standards. Ultra-Orthodox leaders don’t disagree. They believe that God originally expelled the Jews from the land of Israel because of their lack of religious devotion and that the secular nature of the modern Israeli nation is unacceptable. As a result, many are anti-Zionist.

“There’s something more important than the state of Israel and Zionism,” said Moshe Gafni, a member of Israel’s parliament who represents the ultra-Orthodox United Torah Judaism party.

Wearing the customary ultra-Orthodox uniform of black pants and white shirt, Gafni speaks forcefully and with deep conviction: “Unlike Christians, we Jews are not missionaries. If someone really wants to join the Jewish people, we’re going to make it difficult for them.”

Gafni’s view is rooted in his interpretation of Jewish law. To him, there are two kinds of Jews: those who were born of Jewish mothers into the faith, and those who can prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that they are willing to abide by Jewish law and accept the hundreds of mitzvoth, or commandments, that govern an observant Jew’s daily life.

To admit others, he said, would be to destroy the integrity of a community that, according to God’s will, needs to stay distinct.

While the ultra-Orthodox are only about 11 percent of Israel’s Jewish population — approximately the same share as the religious Zionists — they have wielded increasing power in recent years as high birth rates swell their numbers. Ben-Moshe said he expects them to double their share of the Jewish population within the next 20 years.

Israel’s notoriously unstable political system, too, has helped raise their influence: Mainstream Israeli politicians usually need ultra-Orthodox parties in their governments to build a majority coalition.

Over time, the ultra-Orthodox have grown bolder in challenging the Israeli government’s efforts to convert non-Jewish immigrants.

Unwittingly, Yael became a part of that campaign when her husband filed for divorce.

A Protestant by birth who grew up in Denmark, she moved to Israel in 1988 to be with her Jewish boyfriend. Because there is no civil marriage in Israel, she needed to convert to marry him here. The process took a year of intense study of Jewish prayers, holidays and traditions.

“Ordinary Israelis don’t know half of what I learned,” she said while sitting at her kitchen table in this city by the Mediterranean. Like most ordinary Israeli Jews, her level of observance was not up to the standards of the ultra-Orthodox.

Still, she had no idea that her conversion could be nullified — especially 15 years after the fact. In their 51-page decision, the rabbis in Ashdod who heard the divorce petition wrote that “most of the converts lie to the rabbis when they promise to keep the mitzvoth after the conversion. . . . How can one bury one’s head in the sand and continue letting into the vineyard of the Jewish people these total non-Jews?”

Yoseph Sheinin, chief rabbi of Ashdod, did not take part in the ruling, but he praised it as a means of correcting the government’s mistakes. “The idea of Zionism was to bring Jews here. The moment they brought Gentiles here, they bankrupted the movement,” he said.

When Yael appealed to the High Rabbinical Court in Jerusalem, she was again subjected to tough questioning — most of it focused on prohibitions relating to sex. “It was all about our private life — our very private life,” she said. “It was simply terrible.”

In a lengthy ruling, the Jerusalem judges attacked Rabbi Chaim Drukman, a religious Zionist who oversaw Yael’s conversion along with thousands of others as part of an aggressive government effort to increase the Jewish population of Israel. Every one of those conversions, the court ruled, should be called into question.

Drukman said the decision strikes at the heart of the Zionist project. “We feel a responsibility for the people of Israel,” he said, his bookshelves lined with copies of the Talmud. “They don’t. They only care about their small circle.”

Indeed, the backlash against the ruling has prompted proposals for alternative courts that would take a more lenient view of Jewish law, or the institution of civil marriage.

Susan Weiss, a lawyer whose Center for Women’s Justice is handling Yael’s appeal to Israel’s Supreme Court, said she is hoping that the case helps to “change the system from its roots.”

Until then, however, the government and the rabbinical courts continue to work at cross-purposes — with the government spending millions of shekels annually to bring people into the fold of Judaism, and the courts trying to keep them out.

Former Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon, a major advocate for easing the conversion process, used to “pound on the table and say, ‘If I had to convert, I would not pass,’ ” said Avigdor Leviatan, head of Israel’s conversion office. “The problem lies with the rabbinical courts. There the system collapses.”

Special correspondent Samuel Sockol contributed to this report.

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Posted on Sustainabilitank.info on August 30th, 2008
by Pincas Jawetz (PJ@SustainabiliTank.com)

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