links about us archives search home
SustainabiliTankSustainabilitank menu graphic

Follow us on Twitter


Posted on on April 19th, 2017
by Pincas Jawetz (

Paul Sammon  paul.sammon at
April 19, 2017

While the goal of the Paris Agreement is clear, how different countries might contribute to its achievement in the medium term, and the associated economic implications, are much less so. Scenario planning can play a key role. Vivid Economics was commissioned by GLOBE-NZ – a cross-party group of 35 members of the New Zealand Parliament – to complete one of the first attempts to apply scenario analysis across the New Zealand economy, covering both land and energy, to help illuminate long-term low-emission pathways.
A look at Paris

The scenarios involve a significant departure from the technologies and practices commonplace in New Zealand today. Yet within this context, they show that there are a range of different options available for meeting the terms of the Paris Agreement. The report has succeeded in furthering the debate among policymakers, and received cross-party support during a specially convened parliamentary session:

For further information, please see:
– the summary report, which includes policy and strategic recommendations:…

– the underlying quantitative detail and data sources in the technical annex:…

– launch slides from the report:…

The analysis included a substantial programme of engagement with stakeholders from government, business and civil society in New Zealand. The engagement was structured to provide sources of evidence and to challenge the outcomes of the analysis as they emerged. The report’s authors are indebted to all of these stakeholders who gave their time and expertise so generously.

For further information, please contact  enquiries at


Be Sociable, Share!

Leave a comment for this article