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Posted on Sustainabilitank.info on April 21st, 2012
by Pincas Jawetz (pj@sustainabilitank.info)

The news from the elections in France: At a time of crisis in the economy right is wrong and the large majority of the populus say it is left to the needed help in rather quiet ways.

Messieur Holande will replace Messieur Sarcozy and Mr. Romney will not replace Mr. Obama.

Further, 2012 will see more switches from right to left and blocking of right trying to take leadership from left.

Above is contagious and will spread over both ends of the Atlantic.

The Sunday April 22, 2012 – first round results in France are:

Exit polls from the French presidential elections show Socialist candidate Francois Hollande with 28.4% of the vote and President Nicolas Sarkozy with 25.5%, French officials announced Sunday.

A presidential candidate must receive more than 50% of the vote to win office. If no one claims a majority in the first round of voting, the top two vote-getters advance to a second round of voting. The runoff would take place May 6.

From the total of 10 candidates – In addition to Sarkozy and Hollande, candidates that got significant results were:

Marine Le Pen on the extreme right with 20%, Jean-Luc Melenchon on the extreme left with 11.7%, and centrist Francois Bayrou with 8.5%.

Considering that the Le Pen vote was mainly from the working class conservatives they are not expected to transfer their vote automatically to Mr. Sarcozy who represents the bourgeois – rich. This leaves Holande as the best alternative for all those that did not vote Sarcozy in the first round.

The strong showing by the left and anger on the political extremes seemed to reflect a desire for change in France after 17 years of centrist, conservative presidents. And it could continue an anti-incumbency trend that began with the economic crisis in Western Europe, where center-right governments dominate from Britain to Spain to Germany.

It may also represent the first stirrings of a challenge to the German-dominated narrative of the euro crisis, which holds that public debt and runaway spending are the main culprits and that austerity must precede growth. Over the weekend, the Dutch government was left tottering after failing to gain a majority in support of austerity measures, and demonstrators in the Czech Republic turned out in the greatest numbers since 1989 to protest a tax increase and budget cuts.

The French vote “is a reaction against austerity, and austerity is you,” Mr. Hollande’s campaign manager, Pierre Moscovici, said to the leader of Mr. Sarkozy’s party, Jean-François Copé.

But the vote was also about an electorate that has grown increasingly disenchanted with politics and the political class.


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