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Posted on Sustainabilitank.info on November 19th, 2011
by Pincas Jawetz (pj@sustainabilitank.info)

The next IPCC  assessment report is set to be published in late 2013/2014.

The first segment, carried out by Working Group I, assesses “the physical science basis” of climate change is scheduled to be released mid-September 2013.

Working Group II’s Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability report is expected to be publicly available by mid-March 2014, while Working Group III’s findings on the “mitigation of climate change” will be published in early April 2014.

The final overall AR5 Synthesis report is expected to be released in October 2014.

The IPCC’s 34th Session is being held this week in Kampala, Uganda – it will end November 18, 2011. Some findings were released in  a  Special Report and were presented this week in Kampala. Details were outlined during a media briefing by the co-chairmen overseeing the compilation of two of the three segments of next IPCC assessment report – that future AR5

Introducing the Summary for Policymakers of the Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation,

IPCC chairman Rajendra Pachauri said: “It underlines the complexity and diversity of factors that are shaping human vulnerability to extremes.” The BBC was present and reports at:

 www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-enviro…


The title of the BBC report is:

IPCC: Climate impact risk set to increase.
The risk from extreme weather events is likely to increase if the world continues to warm, say scientists.

But then we find in their reporting also – On the possible change to hurricane patterns, it said: “Average tropical cyclone maximum wind speed is likely to increase, although increases may not occur in all ocean basins.”

“It is likely that the global frequency of tropical cyclones will either decrease or remain essentially unchanged.”

The report also said that small island – as well as mountainous and coastal – settlements were likely to be particularly vulnerable as a result of sea-level rise and higher temperatures, in both developed and developing nations.

“Rapid urbanisation and the growth of mega-cities, especially in developing nations, have led to the emergence of highly vulnerable urban communities,” it added.

So, let us see this new carefulness as the impact of outsiders on reluctant insiders:

Man watching the formation of monsoon clouds (Image: AP) Please remember – Storm clouds gathered over the IPCC after a number of errors were found in its 2007 assessment report.

Satellite image of Hurricane Katrina, August 2005 (Image: Getty Images/NOAA)

There has been uncertainty over the link between extreme weather events and climate change.

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